Another week, another chance to make some money betting the Las Vegas Raiders (and Josh Jacobs) with this week’s Gamble Ramble!
Last week, we went 1-2 once again, taking us to 9-21 for the year. We dropped another 1.9 units, leaving us down 12.45 on the season. Making these picks every week is getting expensive. If this gets any worse, I might be making these picks from a shelter.
Any who, we forge ahead this week with three more picks. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning. Let’s get started with our best value pick of the week.
Best Value: Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115)
The defending rushing champ is finally back to his old self. Jacobs has had his best two games of the year over the last two weeks. The Raiders have made him the main feature of the offense. If anyone is a lock to score this week, it’s him.
This week, Jacobs faces a Dolphins defense that is allowing one rushing touchdown per week this year. That may not seem like much, but it’s enough. If any Raider runs for a touchdown this week, it will almost certainly be Jacobs.
We should have a ton of Jacobs this week. For the Raiders to win, they need to shorten the game. The Las Vegas running back should have no problem getting into the end zone. This pick also provides great value at +115.
Lock of the Week: Under 46 (-110)
Let’s continue to feast on the under in Raiders matchups. So far this year, the under is 8-2 in those contests. Despite playing a high-flying opponent in Miami this week, the total won’t reach 46.
As we mentioned earlier, it behooves the Raiders greatly to feed Josh Jacobs and shorten the game. On the other side, Miami has plenty of incentive to run the ball against the Raiders’ 29th-ranked run defense. This one should be a total run-fest, which should translate to a low total.
Speaking of which, the Raiders have only had one game all year that has had a total eclipse of 46 points this year. Expect this week’s total to hover in the low 40s. Hammer the under once again.
Long-Shot of the Week: Raiders Money Line (+575)
Why not? We have nothing to lose at this point. Also, there are worse picks. The Raiders look like a completely different team since firing Josh McDaniels. They are now 2-0 since Antonio Pierce took over.
Las Vegas actually has a decent recipe for success against a team like Miami. They can shorten the game with Jacobs, and their bend-don’t-break should at least contain Miami’s offense.
The Raiders may not be likely to win this game, but they look like they can hang with anyone as of late. Also, +575 in any NFL matchup is pretty generous. We can’t pass this one up.
*Top Photo: Getty Images Pool